Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 4.167594 4.609392 5.080659 5.621238 6.224772 6.878518 7.641174
2026-01-11 3.412793 4.012448 4.695452 5.532947 6.534934 7.698584 9.157268
2026-01-18 2.859682 3.539386 4.357646 5.419755 6.768489 8.432689 10.655035
2026-01-25 2.446869 3.164880 4.071481 5.307919 6.962169 9.115632 12.158315
2026-02-01 2.131706 2.865179 3.830756 5.206302 7.133983 9.766542 13.680571
2026-02-08 1.882777 2.618001 3.622374 5.109999 7.283455 10.383203 15.211128
2026-02-15 1.697542 2.434102 3.474679 5.071730 7.496131 11.095207 16.948873
2026-02-22 1.583898 2.337519 3.436352 5.180471 7.926250 12.161674 19.343483
2026-03-01 1.452385 2.199389 3.319864 5.153075 8.135888 12.900474 21.294391
2026-03-08 1.311078 2.031736 3.140516 5.004856 8.130299 13.283959 22.686750
2026-03-15 1.211260 1.918985 3.034754 4.960934 8.284811 13.937798 24.610880
2026-03-22 1.153490 1.867785 3.021441 5.065890 8.697234 15.067696 27.518098
2026-03-29 1.096081 1.813682 3.000849 5.160453 9.109065 16.255998 30.721417
2026-04-05 1.030062 1.739348 2.939494 5.177184 9.382215 17.222643 33.631286
2026-04-12 0.958991 1.650173 2.844510 5.123333 9.517329 17.942869 36.144283
2026-04-19 0.891312 1.561266 2.742145 5.045163 9.596057 18.559460 38.522273
2026-04-26 0.829707 1.478206 2.643136 4.963172 9.656994 19.143959 40.906481
2026-05-03 0.773649 1.400817 2.548023 4.879162 9.703613 19.701123 43.302063
2026-05-10 0.729312 1.341789 2.482363 4.846696 9.851490 20.484536 46.318445
2026-05-17 0.705478 1.319744 2.485263 4.952355 10.300138 21.965088 51.184907
2026-05-24 0.668264 1.268889 2.427790 4.927402 10.462898 22.828487 54.675289
2026-05-31 0.621401 1.195617 2.320204 4.786790 10.354738 23.061693 56.616809
2026-06-07 0.588728 1.148327 2.261316 4.745251 10.465115 23.813284 59.997714